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Newsletter - January 16, 2003
FelCor
Q4 profit hit by low hotel room rates
(Reuters) - FelCor Lodging Trust Inc.( FCH.N
), the No. 2 U.S. hotel owner, announced on Tuesday a shortfall in
fourth-quarter earnings due to weak hotel room rates at the end of the
year.
The company owns a diverse portfolio of 169 hotels including
Holiday Inns in major markets, and is the largest owner of Embassy Suites
properties.
"Occupancy has increased, while our room rates remain below
prior year levels putting further pressure on our margins," Thomas
Corcoran, president and chief executive, said in a statement that
reflected malaise widely felt in the travel and lodging industry.
FelCor said that room revenue, a mix of room rates and occupancy,
had risen about 3 percent in the fourth quarter from a year earlier, which
was half the high end of the 4 percent to 6 percent range the Irving,
Texas-based company had originally targeted.
Occupancy at the company's hotels, which are managed by other
companies, was about 58 percent in the quarter, up from 55 percent in the
year-ago period, which was the aftermath of the Sept. 11 attacks, but
operating profit margins fell about 2 percentage points to 28 percent.
FelCor estimated fourth-quarter earnings before interest, tax,
depreciation and amortization, or EBITDA, would be $56 million to $58
million, compared with the Wall Street consensus forecast, compiled by
Multex, of $59.19 million.
Funds from operations, a key measure of operating earnings for real
estate investment trusts, would be 9 cents to 12 cents per share, which
compares with estimates by Wall Street analysts of 21 cents per share,
according to Thomson First Call.
Before payment of a fourth quarter dividend on Series A preferred
stock, funds from operations were 13 cents to 16 cents per share, FelCor
said.
Most industry hopes for a 2003 hotel industry recovery have been
shelved in the face of the weak economy and threat of war between the
United States and Iraq.
Hotel room rates have remained weak because business travelers have
stayed close to their home bases. Patronage by business people, who are
less price sensitive when the do travel, is key to raising rates, analysts
say.
Corcoran said in a recent interview that group and leisure
travelers were still relatively steady.
Shares of FelCor, which also owns Doubletree, Sheraton, Westin and
Crowne Plaza hotels, rose 2.6 percent, or 30 cents, to $11.85 before the
company released earnings.
Corcoran said in an interview that individual hotels were hustling
to sell rooms. "It continues to be just a street corner
business," he said.
Perspectives
on the Global Hospitality Industry From The Cornell School of Hotel
Administration’s Professional Development Program
Professors at the Cornell School of Hotel
Administration are framing the future of the global hospitality industry
in classroom exercises. The Cornell Professional Development Program (PDP)
gathers hospitality professionals from around the world to confront new
realities and develop new strategies for success in a changing world.
A typical class in the Cornell Hotel School’s Professional Development
Program is a highly intense meeting of the minds of hospitality managers
from all over the world. Attendees are encouraged to bring specific
operating problems from their own work environment to the classroom for
discussion.
In his PDP class, “Strategic Hospitality Management,” Associate Dean
Thomas P. Cullen offers the thought that “strategic planning is dead,”
and that corporate agility has replaced corporate stability as a survival
skill. “Most businesses don’t have time for strategic planning in the
current environment,” Cullen says. “The pace of change is too great.
Strategic planning is really a set of guesses about
the future. In today’s world, no one can guess well about what
will happen next.”
Cullen, who was in New York City on Sept. 11, 2001 and witnessed the
destruction that day, says, “We have to plan for the unexpected and be
able to respond to events. The hospitality industry has an inventory that
perishes every day when rooms sit empty. An organization and its
leadership need to address opportunities and confront problems in
real-time. We practice this sort of thinking in our class exercises.”
Professor Cullen will be teaching his course in “Strategic Hospitality
Management” this Spring and Summer at PDP sessions on the Cornell campus
in Ithaca, New York; Los Angeles; New York City; and Brussels.
Professor Chekitan S. Dev, a global leader on hospitality marketing
strategies, teaches several PDP courses. Professor Dev says that the
successful manager today must be a “market driver” in creating and
capturing value to succeed in
the globally competitive hospitality industry. "The fundamentals of
the hospitality business are still important," Professor Dev says,
"but we have to
keep up with our customers who have a rapidly changing perception of
values they seek for their hospitality dollars." Dev points to the
"redefinition" of hotel and restaurant offerings as one industry
response to the need for value-based products.
Professor Dev has recently completed a detailed "Value Drivers"
study that defines what customers look for when choosing a hotel. In this
study, he and his co-authors note that over 30% of the choice-making
process today is led by new value drivers such as technology, loyalty
programs and customization options.
Professor Dev will be teaching his courses in “Strategic Marketing for
the Hotel Industry” and “Strategic Marketing for the Restaurant
Industry” at the Cornell campus in Ithaca, New York; Los Angeles; and
Brussels. In addition, in the Cornell campus PDP curriculum, Professor Dev
will teach a course in diversified “Marketing Management.”
Professor Cathy A. Enz, executive director of the Cornell Center for
Hospitality Research, is another member of the PDP faculty, teaching three
new courses this year. Professor Enz has recently completed a detailed
“Future Leaders” study that defines the new competencies for success
in the hospitality industry.
Although the results of the study have not been released, Professor Enz
notes that skills in self-management, critical thinking, and strategic
implementation are surfacing as important competencies for hospitality
leaders and necessary for dealing with future changes in the hospitality
operating environment.
Professor Enz will be teaching her courses in “Strategic Leadership,”
“Strategic Decision Analysis,” and “Self-Management and Personal
Understanding” at the Cornell campus in Ithaca, New York, in the Spring
and Summer 2003 PDP curriculum.
The Spring and Summer 2003 courses of the Cornell Hotel School
Professional Development Program are scheduled at the Cornell campus in
Ithaca, New York (June 30 – July 25) as well as in Los Angeles (May 5
– May 10); New York City (May 28 – 30; July 20 – 25; and July 28 –
30); and Brussels (June 2 – June 14). The courses, taught in three-day
sessions, are divided in tiers to serve the needs of entry level, middle
management, and senior management professionals in the hospitality
industries.
The Cornell Hotel School Professional Development Program is supported in
part by the Anheuser-Busch Foundation.
Egyptian
Tourism Industry Shows More Signs of Rebound
The latest tourism figures released by Egypt's Central
Bank show that the country's tourism industry continues to rebound
sharply. According to the Central Bank, 498,000 people visited Egypt in
September 2002, compared to 372,000 in September 2001.
The figure was also up from the September 2000 level
of 455,000 people. Tourism figures peaked in August 2002, when levels
reached 574,000, the highest number of tourists since 1993. Egypt relies
heavily on tourism as a key source of foreign currency. The sector
suffered considerably after the 11 September 2001 terrorist attacks in the
US, but now appears to be on the rebound. The positive effects of
increased tourism in Egypt were evidenced last month when the Central Bank
announced a rise in the foreign exchange reserves (see Egypt: 27 December
2002: Forex Reserves Rise on Gradual Recovery of Tourism in Egypt).
However, the tourism sector recovery will remain cautious in the short and
medium term, whilst the situation in the occupied territories and Israel
remains troubled, and the possibility of US-led military action against
Iraq still looms.
Source: World
Markets Research Limited
Small
Luxury Hotels Of The World Sees Largest Membership Increase
Small Luxury Hotels of the World, a consortium of the world's
top, independently owned hotels, has increased its membership by 37 new
properties to 293 - the largest annual increase in over a decade and the
highest-ever membership total.
Moreover, SLH has expanded its international presence by adding its first
properties in Hungary, Morocco and Myanmar (formerly Burma).
Lee Ann Gamble, regional manager of the Americas for SLH commented,
"We have been able to differentiate ourselves in this uncertain
travel climate and our new members clearly recognize the value the SLH
brand brings to a property. Our record-breaking year proves that SLH
remains committed to providing the highest level of quality and service to
its members."
Out of the new members, the North American region has five new properties
including:
* Hotel Parisi in La Jolla, CA (http://www.slh.com/usa/la_jolla/hotel_laupar.html)
* Hotel Healdsburg in Healdsburg, CA
( http://www.slh.com/usa/healdsburg/hotel_heahea.html )
* Hotel Telluride in Telluride, CO ( http://www.thehoteltelluride.com
)
* Hotel Valencia in San Antonio, TX
( http://www.slh.com/usa/san_antonio/hotel_sanval.html
)
* Soniat House in New Orleans, La
( http://www.slh.com/usa/new_orleans/hotel_newson.html
)
For the first time, Budapest, Edinburgh, Prague and Vienna feature their
only SLH properties, allowing visitors to these cities to embrace the SLH
experience of luxury, exclusivity and intimacy. Other global destinations
with additional SLH properties are Belgium, Indonesia, New Zealand,
Portugal, Switzerland and Thailand. New SLH destinations within the
British Isles are the Thames Valley, St. Andrews as well as Dunlavin in
Ireland.
All of the 37 new properties are visually represented in the 2003 hotel
directory. Last year's edition of the SLH directory was awarded the 2002
Hermes Award for 'Best Hotel Guide.' Delivering beautifully illustrated,
full-page descriptions, the 2003 directory provides detailed information
on all SLH properties, each of which falls into one or more of a number of
categories: spa & sporting resorts, heritage houses, romantic
hideaways, waterfront hotels, adventure playgrounds and city sanctuaries.
About Small Luxury Hotels of the World
SLH brings together 293 of the world's finest-quality hotels, embracing
not only the romantic heritage of rural retreats and historic houses, but
the sophisticated indulgence of city sanctuaries, spa centers, sports
resorts and superior game lodges in over 50 countries.
Hopes
for a Rally in Tunisian Tourism
OBG
-
Tunisia was host to some unusual visitors last week, as
adrenaline-addicted rally drivers sped down the country on their way to
Libya and Egypt. However, much as this year’s Paris-Dakar (or more
precisely Marseille-Sharm el Sheikh) drivers were welcomed, many inside
the tourist industry feel that it will take more than exhaust fumes and Stéphane
Peterhansel to bring back the tourists to this North African nation.
Last year was a particularly bad one for the tourism
sector. While initially, there was cautious optimism that the September
11th, 2001 attacks had failed to dampen the European market’s enthusiasm
for Tunisia, in April this optimism was badly shaken when a suicide attack
on a synagogue on the resort island of Djerba killed 21, including 14
German tourists. Coming at the beginning of the tourist high season, the
effects were disastrous. There were drastic falls in arrivals, low
occupancy rates and even the wholesale withdrawal of certain tourist
operators, such as the British company, Prestige Holidays.
According to the Ministry of Tourism’s latest figures,
total non-resident entries declined by 8.3% year-on-year in the period
January to November 2002. This translated into a 14% decline in tourist
revenues, which fell from $1.6bn in 2001 to $1.4bn in 2002. The economy
has felt the impact particularly acutely, as tourism is the country’s
major foreign currency earner at roughly 17% of total earnings.
The anomaly between entries and revenue is largely due
to changes in the composition of the visitors. European tourists, who
accounted for 67% of the market in 2001, were far scarcer in 2002, with a
20.4% reduction, led by the Germans (down 35.1%) and Austrians (down
33.1%).
On the other hand, there was a considerable boost in
tourists from the Maghreb countries - up 18.7%. The Libyan market in
particular performed well, expanding by 24.2%. These results now make
Libyans and the Algerians the first and third most important sources of
tourism, with the French the most important amongst the Europeans.
Three basic inferences have been drawn from this.
Firstly, that the Maghreb market has been important in mitigating the
decline in the European market. Secondly, that despite this fact, tourism
revenue has still been hit as Maghreb visitors spend less than their
European counterparts - or at least, their spending is not so easily
accounted for as they do not go to the conventional tourist resorts.
Thirdly, it is those most familiar with Tunisia who continue to show faith
in the country.
The last illustrates the point that for a sector like
tourism, image is all-important. The massive decline in the German market
is no doubt due to potential package tourists unfamiliar with the region
being scared away by images of bombs and terrorism. On the other hand,
tourists from neighbouring and historically close countries, such as
Libya, Algeria, France and Italy, have proved more resilient.
Another factor worthy of mention is the rapidly
expanding Eastern European market. Led by Russian arrivals, up 74.7% in
the 2001-2002 period, the East Europeans saw their share of total European
arrivals increase from 5.5% in the period January-November 2001 to 6.9% in
the same period of 2002.
Although the high season was pretty catastrophic for
Tunisia, there is strong evidence of a slow recovery since late
August-early September. In November, total non-resident arrivals increased
by 5% year-on-year, including an increase of 2.2% amongst Europeans and a
7.8% increase amongst Maghrebis.
The very latest figures, which show the number of nights
spent in hotels, (irrespective of origin) are also positive. For the first
week of 2003, approximately 336 000 nights were spent – compared to
approximately 271 000 in the same week of 2002. This represents a
progression of 24.2%. Significantly, the occupancy rate for that week,
29.6%, is above that recorded in 2001 (28.4%) – the figure might seem
low, but it is respectable for the low season.
It is such figures which have put the government in a
bullish mood for 2003. According to Reuters, government sources are
estimating an increase of 15% in 2003: 5.5m tourists (100 000 more than in
2001) bringing in $1.72bn.
This may be over-optimistic. Leading figures within the
sector are more hesitant, citing the looming potential war in Iraq as the
number one question mark. Even though Tunisia is relatively far removed
from events, the duration and effects of the war are important factors in
creating uncertainty.
Tunisia’s tourist sector is also structurally placed
in a niche – tourist operator-driven package holidays – which is most
sensitive to bad publicity, even when this negative image derives from
other countries in the region.
Economically, this type of tourism is also plagued by a
low level of profitability. This is not due so much to a low level of
linkages - industry, particularly agro-industry, has developed strongly
through providing inputs to the tourism sector – but rather, it is due
to the contracting relationship between hoteliers and tour operators. In
this arena, the economic fight is being waged most acutely.
During the 1990s, the Tunisian tourist market
experienced a long boom, particularly in the hotel construction sector.
Attracted by government incentives, a large number of investors built
hotels in the country. Many were inexperienced in tourist services, and
found ready partners in European tour operators, who would often hire the
premises for a contracted period.
While the relationship was beneficial for a while, in
the latest cyclical downturn it has turned sour. There has been a
remarkable consolidation amongst European tour operators, with new giants
like TUI now able to set far more onerous terms on the local hotels and
operators. The market Tunisia has traditionally attracted from Europe -
the cheap, ‘sun and sea’ tourism - is also highly competitive, with a
largely homogenous product to be found in Spain, Greece, Egypt, Turkey,
Italy, Croatia, and so on. The market might be large, but it also faces
competition from newer phenomena such as low cost airlines, which are
currently gaining a larger market share in the EU.
All this has resulted in the 2002 downturn pushing some
local hotels to the wall. However, it has also resulted in officials and
leading figures in the industry sitting up and taking notice.
The 2002 World Bank report on strategy for tourist
development in Tunisia points out that the Tunisian market is largely
undiversified when compared to its competitors, both in terms of product
and in terms of tourist provenance.
Diversification is the key. Health, for example, already
a principal magnet for Libyan tourists, is seen as one vector of potential
growth. This fits in with Tunisia’s place as the second spa destination
in the world, after France. The World Bank singles this out as one of the
most potentially dynamic sources of tourist development. Business tourism
is another potential money-spinner. Even Tunisia’s cultural patrimony is
being re-examined and rediscovered, with EU funding for a number of
projects, such as the regeneration of the Dogga Roman bath ruins.
Carthage, Kairouan, and the Roman amphitheatre at El Djem – the country
has its fair share of ancient sites largely overlooked since mass tourism
took off in the 1970s.
However, the country still retains a poorly developed
image and a low level of services. But there are signs of things being
done. The Tunisian government is expanding its privatisation programme to
include many tourism companies. Meanwhile, new air links are being
developed with the Gulf region, as Levantine and Gulf Arab tourists are
currently less common than those coming from Ireland.
Sport is also important. Perhaps Tunisia cannot lay
claim to the Paris-Dakar route just yet, but elsewhere, sport is being
cited as of serious tourism potential. Golf is the most serious contender,
with courses springing up rapidly in recent years at sites such as Tozeur,
Tunisia’s desert oasis (much to some locals’ chagrin). The attraction
is obvious, with Tunisians intent on marketing themselves as a
meteorological paradise for rain-sodden golfers in the north and Far East.
On the horizon too shimmers the hope of Tunisia hosting
the football World Cup. With the competition as good as promised to Africa
in 2010, the government decided at the end of December 2002 to enter the
competition to hold the tournament alongside other serious contenders such
as South Africa, Egypt, Morocco and Nigeria
Set
Goals the S.M.A.R.T. Way
By Christina
Morfeld
A key determinant of an
individual's success or failure in meeting a goal can be summed up with one
small word (or, more accurately, acronym): S.M.A.R.T.
No, I'm not referring to
the person's IQ, GPA, or ability to complete the New York Times crossword
puzzle. I'm referring, rather, to the presence or absence of five important
goal attributes. Goals most likely to be achieved are:
- Specific
Becoming an effective salesperson, while definitely a worthy pursuit, is
too vague to be an effective goal. How can we determine what steps to take
unless we are more exact about what we are looking to accomplish? Instead,
we must identify and base our goals upon distinct characteristics of good
salespeople, such as high sales volume, repeat customers, and referrals.
- Measurable
Once we identify which aspects of sales we would like to enhance, we must
determine what criteria will be used to measure our performance. To simply
say that we want to increase sales is not enough – unless, of course,
we'd be satisfied with a sales growth of $.01! Instead, we need to
explicitly state that we are striving to exceed last year's sales figures
by X number of dollars or Y percent.
- Attainable
Effective goals are slightly out of our immediate grasp but not so far
that there is no hope of achieving them. If they are set too high, or we
lack the necessary resources or support, we tend to become frustrated and
abandon them. If they are set too low, we forfeit the opportunity to
develop ourselves.
It
is important that we not only consider our own skills and abilities when
developing goals but outside factors as well. For example, while a sales goal
of $1 million may seem reasonable given our past performance, changes in our
customers' finances or the emergence of new competitors in the marketplace may
influence our ability to succeed and should, therefore, be taken into account.
- Rewarding
Unless we feel that our goals are worth the effort we must put in to reach
them, it is difficult to get and stay motivated. What one person finds
rewarding and inspiring, however, may hold no value for someone else.
For
example, while we all work extremely hard to meet our sales goals, we may each
do so for different reasons: One of us may be motivated by a pay raise or
promotion. Another may place higher importance on being recognized at an
awards dinner. Another may be striving toward the company-paid Caribbean
vacation that is granted to the top salesperson. And for yet another, the mere
satisfaction of meeting the goal may be reward enough.
- Time-Based
We must assign realistic deadlines to each of our goals. Deadlines should
be far enough away that we can accomplish the goal comfortably – even
with unexpected delays – but close enough that we are compelled to take
action.
Without deadlines, or with overly generous ones, achievement
of the goal lacks a sense of importance and we may lose interest in it. If our
deadline is too aggressive, however, we may discontinue our efforts out of
frustration.
Most
deadlines need not be written in stone. If, during a progress review, we
discover that the assigned deadline is inappropriate, we can – if
circumstances allow – consider adjusting it accordingly. It is important,
though, that we do this only when a deadline is truly impractical – not when
we fail to meet a reasonable one!
Copyright © 2001-2002 Christina Morfeld and Affinity
Business Communications, LLC. Originally published by Suite101.com. All rights
reserved
About
the Author"
Christina Morfeld is president of Affinity
Business Communications, a provider of high-quality instructional design,
technical writing, and content development solutions. Whether writing to
instruct, inform, or persuade, our work is reader-focused, benefits-oriented,
and results-driven.
Contact us at 1- 203-445-9964 or info@affinitybizcomm.com, or
visit the website at http://www.affinitybizcomm.com to
learn how we can increase your firm's sales and effectiveness!
Beijing to
abolish hotel tax to upgrade lower-grade hotels
TravelWeeklyEast.com
- The Beijing Tourism
Administration (BTA) disclosed today that the city of Beijing will soon
rid of the city construction tax required from star-rated hotels.
This
move will give lower-star hotels a chance to upgrade themselves in time
for the Olympics in 2008.
Xiong
Yumei, deputy director of BTA says Beijing’s one-star hotels are
suffering, because the RMB6 (US$0.72) charge per guest each night, on
average, accounts for 12 percent of the room rate. Other, lower ranking
hotels opt not to seek government star ratings to avoid such construction
tax.
Xiong
says the move should help encourage lower-grade hotels to upgrade their
facilities and services to help meet the demand for hotels in 2008.
To
avoid an oversupply of hotels after the Olympics, Beijing is actively
encouraging renovations and upgrades at existing hotels rather than
building new hotels from scratch.
Beijing
is expected to add another 300 star-rated hotels to the existing 500
properties in time for the Games.
New
UK tourism chief appointed
Caterer.com -
Culture secretary Tessa Jowell has appointed Sir Michael Lickiss as
head of the new-look British Tourist Authority (BTA).
Lickiss will take up his new post as chairman of the merged
BTA and English Tourism Council (ETC) from 1 April. He takes over from
current BTA chairman David Quarmby.
The government announced plans to merge the BTA and ETC in
October 2002 with the aim of encouraging more people both in
Britain and overseas to take their holidays here.
As chairman
of the new body Lickiss will oversee work to strengthen the marketing of
Britain as a tourism destination and build a new marketing force for
England.
The two-year position will earn him £44,270 a year
for two days' work a week.
Lickiss, an accountant, was
formerly chairman of the South West England Regional Development Agency, a
post he held for four years.
Seoul’s
luxury hotels target young customers
Domestic luxury hotels are conducting
aggressive marketing campaigns targeting young people in their twenties
and thirties via a shift in interior design of restaurants, bars, coffee
shops and bakeries and a variety of events, hotel sources said Monday.
Lotte
Hotel plans to alter overall interiors of two restaurants, a coffee shop
and a bakery this year toward a more modern style and away from the
current classical one.
"Wine
bar "Vine" attracted young customers last year thanks to its
renovation," said a source at Lotte Hotel.
The downtown Seoul hotel recruited a young woman
aged 30 to head up its event business in 2002 in an attempt to develop
programs to suit younger consumers.
Inter-Continental
hotel in southern Seoul opened a new restaurant called "Table
34" late last year to lure young business customers. The restaurant
has built a warehouse to stockpile some 4,000 bottles of wine for expected
wine mania.
Westin
Chosun Hotel intends to seek a shift in the interiors of four underground
restaurants and bars in 2003 toward various colors far from classical
interiors based on brown, which the hotel thinks will attract young
customers.
O'Kim's,
a restaurant at Westin Chosun has held events targeting young people in
their twenties and thirties each month. This month, it has arranged an
event featuring games and a space-like interior dubbed "Space
Odyssey."
The
Grand Hilton hotel is hosting a "romantic proposal event" at all
its restaurants till the end of March. During the event period, the hotel
will offer free wine, bouquets and good seats but only to customers who
called it previously.
"In the wake of increasing young executives
of large companies and an upswing in the number of venture firms, more
young people have been visiting hotels," a source said. "A raft
of domestic hotels are moving toward interiors and events aimed at young
people."

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