Newsletter - May 9, 2003
CNL
Hospitality to buy RFS Hotel for $383 mln
(Reuters) - Hotel owner CNL Hospitality Corp. said on Thursday it
reached a deal to buy RFS Hotel Investors Inc. or about $383 million in
cash in a move that would nearly double the number of hotels its owns.
CNL Hospitality, a privately held real estate investment trust based in
Orlando, Florida, said it would pay $12.35 a share for RFS, an 11 percent
premium over the closing price of $11.10 Thursday on the New York Stock
Exchange.
The company, which is an affiliate of CNL Financial Group, will also
assume about $305 million of debt held by Memphis-based RFS. The companies
hope to complete the transaction early in the third quarter.
Combined, the two REITs will own 120 hotel properties, operating under
18 different brand names, in 35 states.
CNL Hospitality currently owns interests in 63 hotels under such names
as Marriott and Doubletree, while RFS owns 57 hotels in 24 states under
names like Sheraton and Holiday Inn.
Separately, the two companies also said CNL Hospitality would acquire
an additional one million newly issued RFS shares for $12.35 in cash
within 24 hours after the deal closes. The companies did not immediately
comment on who would receive the proceeds of that payment, or why the
share acquisition was being conducted as a separate transaction.
RFS recently reported a difficult first quarter, during which it lost
$1.7 million as total hotel revenue declined 5 percent to $44.6 million.
The company blamed the results on reduced travel activity during the war
in Iraq and a previous decision to undertake a substantial portion of its
2003 capital expenditures during the first quarter.
However, both companies hinted they expect better days ahead for the
hospitality industry.
"With relatively little additional supply expected in the next
several years and stabilizing demand, we believe that the long-term
outlook for the industry remains favorable," said John Griswold, CNL
Hospitality's president.
Flagstone Hospitality Management, a subsidiary of Interstate Hotels and
Resorts Inc. IHR.N
, will continue to manage a majority of RFS's hotel portfolio following
the deal.
Bank of America is providing CNL Hospitality secured financing to fund
a significant portion of the purchase price, the company said. Bank of
America also acted as the company's financial advisor on the transaction,
while Greenberg Traurig provided legal counsel.
Credit Suisse First Boston and Morgan Keegan & Co. provided RFS
financial advice while Hunton & Williams provided legal advice.
Four Seasons Q1
loss $9.3M; revenue cut 5.5% by SARS, weakening US
(CP) - Four Seasons Hotels Inc. is trying to cut costs while
maintaining its de luxe status after suffering a $9.3-million
first-quarter loss, afflicted by war in Iraq, the feeble U.S. dollar,
SARS and general weakness in high-expense travel.
January-March revenue fell 5.5 per cent from a year ago, to $61
million from $64.6 million, the company reported Thursday. The
$9.3-million loss, 27 cents per share, was down from a profit of $7.7
million, 21 cents per share, in the first full quarter after the Sept.
11 terrorist calamity.
In the latest quarter "the travel industry faced many
challenges, including a weak economic environment, military conflict in
Iraq, heightened terrorist alerts and concerns regarding severe acute
respiratory syndrome in certain regions," commented Isadore Sharp,
chairman and CEO of Four Seasons.
"These challenges negatively affected our current results, but
we remain confident about our short-term and our long-term plans and are
firm in our commitment to expand the Four Seasons network."
Sharp did not check in on a conference call with analysts, leaving
chief financial officer Douglas Ludwig to report overall occupancy in
April of just 55 per cent, down from the expected 65 per cent.
Four Seasons hotels in Asia, hardest hit by SARS, had 39 per cent of
their rooms occupied.
The company is seeking to reduce expenses with "changes that
will not affect the guest experience or the long-term integrity of our
pricing strategy," Ludwig said.
Staff costs, he said, "are being reduced through attrition,
holiday-taking, voluntary leaves, sabbaticals, job-sharing and in some
circumstances staff reductions."
At almost all properties "the booking window remains very
short," Ludwig said. Most guests are reserving only a week or two
before their arrival, and this makes travel trend forecasts
"virtually impossible."
Amid "formidable and extraordinarily unique operating
conditions," he added, Four Seasons has maintained its lofty room
rates and outperformed its competitors.
The quarter produced a non-cash foreign-exchange loss of $8.3 million
as a result of the weaker American dollar.
There also was a $4.6-million expense to cover litigation around
hotels in Caracas and Seattle.
SARS hit Four Seasons properties in Singapore, Shanghai and Toronto
in the final two weeks of the quarter and "the impact of SARS on
travel during the second quarter of 2003 is difficult to predict,"
Ludwig stated.
"While the company's four properties in the destinations noted
continue to be the most affected, SARS is disrupting travel generally
throughout Asia/Pacific, with the exception of Sydney and the resort in
the Maldives."
Four Seasons shares (TSX:FSH) traded down $1.04 to $47.08 as the
morning conference call concluded.
The stock has a 52-week high and low of $80 and $36.25.
TIA
Traveler Sentiment Index Down Only Slightly In Second Quarter 2003
The war in
Iraq had little impact on traveler sentiment, with the Travel Industry
Association of America's (TIA) Traveler Sentiment Index down only slightly
in second quarter 2003.
The overall index now stands at 95.7, down from 97.1 in first quarter
2003. Consumers feel that travel is very affordable right now; however,
they continue to be concerned about having enough money to take a trip,
most likely an indication of their uneasiness over the state of the
economy. Consumers also are very concerned about having the time available
to travel, which may explain the slight drop in interest in taking a
pleasure trip. The uncertainty created by these factors is probably
contributing to the current late booking patterns seen throughout the
travel industry. The survey took place April 3 - 13.
General consumer interest in taking pleasure trips declined slightly from
97.8 last quarter to 94.6 this quarter. However, this is still
significantly above the all-time low seen in the fourth quarter of 2001
(80.3). Consumer perceptions of the affordability of pleasure travel is up
4.8 percent from last quarter to 117.6. This index is still holding
strong, likely due to continued industry discounting during the months
leading up to and including the war in Iraq.
With the economic uncertainty of today, travelers' perceptions of the
ability to take pleasure trips based on their personal finances have not
recovered since reaching a high of 108.2 in the second quarter of 2000.
Still, this component of the TSI index—at 81.9—is up marginally over
last quarter, and continues an upswing from fourth quarter 2002. The index
for consumer perceptions of service quality received while traveling now
stands at 103.9, up 3.3 percent from last quarter and slightly above
average for this index.

Due to industry concerns about the effects of September 11, 2001, a
question on travel safety was added to the TIA Travel Survey starting in
the fourth quarter of 2001. This quarter, the Travel Safety Index—at
128.3—is at an all time high and up 28 percent from fourth quarter 2001.
The overall Traveler Sentiment Index for Baby Boomers (age 35 to 54)
declined notably (5%), due to significant concerns among this segment
about not having the time or money to travel. As a result, Boomers
continue to feel less confident about the affordability of travel.
Generation X and Y (age 18 to 34) travelers currently feel that travel is
very affordable; however, their index measuring the ability to travel
based on time available is at its lowest point-to-date.
When the overall Traveler Sentiment Index is examined on a regional basis,
the Northeast shows the strongest gain over first quarter 2003, followed
by the Midwest. The overall index for the South shows a substantial
decline, while the West remains stable.
Members of the media can obtain TIA's latest Traveler Sentiment Index
report, including additional analysis and charts for each index, by
sending an e-mail to ckeefe@tia.org.
NOTE: TIA's quarterly Traveler Sentiment Index (TSI) is conducted four
times per year and is a running gauge of consumers' interest in leisure
travel and their perceived ability to travel. The study consists of five
criteria: interest, time, finances, affordability, and service quality.
The TSI is based on quarterly interviews with approximately 1,000 U.S.
adults who have taken at least one trip in the past year. Each criterion
is measured individually and then combined to create an overall index
score. The baseline year for the Index is the year 2000.
TIA is the national, non-profit organization representing all components
of the $537 billion travel industry. TIA's mission is to represent the
whole of the U.S. travel industry to promote and facilitate increased
travel to and within the United States.
News@PATA
DE JONG URGES “QUICK AND EFFECTIVE” COMMUNICATION
AGAINST SARS IMPACT
PATA President and CEO, Mr. Peter de Jong, sent an
urgent message to PATA members and the media on April 30, after attending
a press briefing in Bangkok by World Health Organization Executive
Director, Dr. David Heymann. "It is essential that this reassurance
is communicated onwards throughout our industry and to the public,"
de Jong wrote. Dr. Heymann had reassured the April 28 briefing that travel
was as safe as ever now that appropriate screening and prevention measures
were in place. The full text of Mr. de Jong's message, which has received
strong media coverage and support, can be found at http://www.pata.org/prreport.cfm?pageid=12&pressid=248.
PATA UPLOADS INFORMATION RESOURCES AGAINST SARS
IMPACT
As long as common sense and statistical evidence show
that people can safely resume normal travel patterns, PATA will continue
to call for the resumption of travel within Pacific Asia. To assist PATA
members in their battle against the publics’ unwarranted fear of travel,
PATA has uploaded a SARS information kit, which includes contributions by
the International Air Transport Association (IATA) and Abacus (www.travelsmart-asia.com).
The information aims to put the SARS outbreak into perspective and show
that, with a few sensible precautions, it is safe to travel. Please visit www.pata.org.
IATA CONDUCTS SURVEY OF BUSINESS TRAVELLERS’
CONCERNS ABOUT SARS
The International Air Transport Association (IATA) is
conducting a survey of business travellers to find out what their main
concerns are about SARS and travel. The results of the survey will assist
in the industry’s fight against the SARS impact. Please direct
respondents to the survey questionnaire at http://www.zoomerang.com/survey.zgi?HAK840DJGB9BS21WMBGQ7LME.
SEMONE MEETS WITH HONG KONG SAR TOURISM AUTHORITIES
PATA Vice President, Mr. Peter Semone, made a
lightning visit to Hong Kong SAR last week while on a teaching trip to
Macau SAR. He met with the Deputy Commissioner for Tourism, Mr. Duncan
Pescod, and Hong Kong Tourism Board (HKTB) Executive Director, Ms. Clara
Chong, from whom he learned of the local industry’s SARS recovery plans.
“There has been an ongoing exchange of ideas between the trade and HKTB,”
Mr. Semone said. “My impression is that there is close collaboration
among industry members in Hong Kong.” The SARS outbreak appears to have
peaked, according to the World Health Organization (WHO). “There is a
declining number of new cases and an increasing number of patients who
have recovered,” Mr. Semone said. “WHO environmental health experts
are now in the city to help identify the cause of the outbreak.” On life
in the administrative region, Mr. Semone commented: “The government’s
stringent SARS-prevention measures are obviously having a positive effect
on people's confidence.
SEMONE MEETS WITH MACAU GOVERNMENT TOURIST OFFICE
CHIEF
PATA Vice President, Mr. Peter Semone, while on a
teaching mission in Macau SAR, met with Director of the Macau Government
Tourist Office (MGTO), Mr. Joao Costa Antunes. Macau SAR has only reported
one suspected case of SARS. “There is a high level of screening of
arriving and departing travellers to Macau SAR,” Mr. Semone said. “The
destination has done very well to limit both the medical and economic
impacts of the virus.”
DE JONG TO PARTICIPATE IN GLOBAL INDUSTRY SUMMIT
PATA President and CEO, Mr. Peter de Jong, will
participate in the 3rd Global Travel and Tourism Summit in Vilamoura,
Portugal, May 15-17, 2003. Organised by the World Travel and Tourism
Council, the event’s main objective is to help the industry rebuild
confidence in the face of war, terrorism, disease and economic slowdown.
Mr. de Jong will moderate the session “Breakout Summit 2: Emerging
Economies” on May 15. Other confirmed speakers include former astronaut,
Mr. Neil Armstrong, and former US Assistant Secretary of State, Mr. James
Rubin. For more information, please visit www.globaltraveltourism.com.
PATA AND PADI ASIA PACIFIC ANNOUNCE MARKETING
PARTNERSHIP
PATA and the Asia Pacific office of the Professional
Association of Diving Instructors (PADI) have formed a new marketing
alliance. The partnership will boost dive tourism to the Pacific Asia
region and increase the profile of the dive travel niche at the 26th PATA
Travel Mart, October 1-3, 2003 in Singapore. The 2003 Mart will focus on
niche travel markets such as diving. PADI’s participation will include
exhibits from dive operators, attendance by sellers of dive travel and
presentations on selling dive travel. For the full announcement, please
visit http://www.pata.org/prreport.cfm?pageid=12&pressid=247.
For more information on PATA Travel Mart, please visit http://www.pata.org/frame.cfm?pageid=2&ebid=37.
DAVID SUZUKI’S CONFERENCE NOTES ON PATANET
Regrettably, award-winning scientist,
environmentalist and broadcaster, Dr. David Suzuki, had to cancel his
participation at the 52nd PATA Annual Conference in Bali. However, many
delegates who listened to Dr. Suzuki’s presentation at a previous
Conference asked about what he was going to talk about in Bali. Dr. Suzuki
has been kind enough to send in the preparatory notes he wrote for the
52nd PATA Annual Conference. Please visit www.pata.org.
PATA STRATEGIC INTELLIGENCE CENTRE WORLDWATCH -- THE
SARS IMPACT
ON DESTINATIONS
** Thailand expects a drop of around 700,000 in
international visitor arrivals during 2003.
** Singapore arrivals were down 67 percent in April.
Hotel occupancy is currently at 20-30 percent. It is usually 70-80
percent.
** Australia arrivals were down 20 percent in April.
Australia stands to lose between AUD$1-2 billion because of the virus.
** Asian traffic to the USA is down. Japanese
arrivals to Hawaii were down 23.5 percent in April, while bookings for May
and June are down 36.5 percent and 33.3 percent respectively.
** Arrivals from Hong Kong SAR and Chinese Taipei to
Malaysia are down 90 percent while there were virtually no visitors from
China (PRC). Average daily turnover at Genting Bhd’s coffee shop has
fallen from US$4,700 to US$260 as fewer punters visit Malaysia’s Genting
Highlands.
ON AIRLINES
** Dragonair has delayed delivery of four Airbus
aircraft because of SARS-induced low demand.
**Cathay Pacific Airways, while holding talks with
both Boeing and Airbus about delaying the delivery of aircraft, is also
planning to park 16 surplus aircraft in Avalon, Australia.
** KLM reports that its April load factor dropped 6.8
percent year-on-year to 74 percent in the wake of the SARS outbreak.
Traffic on KLM’s Pacific Asia routes dropped 24 percent.
** Vietnam Airlines is looking to slash international
air fares by as much as 50 percent in a bid to win back travellers put off
by the SARS outbreak.
** Air NZ has cancelled 14 more AucklandHong Kong
SAR flights due to low loads because of SARS.
ON BUSINESS TRAVEL
** Businesses are turning to alternate media for
meetings. Internet traffic in Thailand has grown steadily since the SARS
outbreak. Online usage in March was 989.9 GB, while in April it rose to
1,057 GB, as businesses adopted Internet-based teleconferencing tools.
ON FINANCE AND THE GLOBAL ECONOMY
** Spending on Visa Cards has dropped by 16 percent
across Pacific Asia as fewer people travel.
** S&P warns that banks in Hong Kong SAR and
Singapore could face profit declines of 45 percent and 25 percent,
respectively, if the SARS outbreak continues for too much longer.
** SARS is expected to shave 0.10 percent off global
economic growth this year
Winston Hotels
Reports First Quarter 2003 Results
/Business Wire/ -
Winston Hotels, Inc. (NYSE: WXH), a real estate investment trust (REIT)
and owner of premium limited-service, upscale extended-stay and
full-service hotels, today announced results for the first quarter ended
March 31, 2003.
Net
loss to common shareholders was $(0.2) million for the three months ended
March 31, 2003, or $(0.01) per share, compared to $(2.8) million for the
three months ended March 31, 2002, or $(0.16) per share. Funds from
operations (FFO) decreased 16.5 percent to $4.2 million for the 2003 first
quarter, compared to $5.0 million for the like period a year earlier. On a
per share basis, FFO declined 25.9 percent to $0.20 for the first quarter
on 21.4 million weighted average shares outstanding, compared to $0.27 on
18.5 million weighted average shares outstanding for the same period a
year earlier.
"The
sluggish economy continues to heavily influence corporate business
travel," said Bob Winston, chief executive officer. "The
build-up and start of the Iraq War and the highly publicized outbreak of
severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS), made both business and leisure
travelers more skittish. This combination of events put tremendous
pressure on the entire hospitality industry during the quarter."
Occupancy
for the 2003 first quarter rose to 62.7 percent from 62.3 percent in the
2002 first quarter, while average daily room rate (ADR) declined 4.5
percent, placing greater pressure on operating margins. Revenue per
available room (RevPAR) decreased 3.9 percent in the 2003 first quarter
from the same quarter in 2002.
The
company calculates FFO by using the National Association of Real Estate
Investment Trusts' (NAREIT) definition, and further adjusts for changes in
deferred revenue, preferred share distributions, deferred income taxes and
other unusual and non-recurring transactions. This calculation of FFO may
differ from other reporting companies and as such the presentation of FFO
by the company may not be comparable to other similarly titled measures of
other reporting companies. Some reporting companies have adopted the
NAREIT definition of FFO. Due to the acquisition of the company's
leasehold interests from Interstate Hotels and Resorts in July 2002, the
company believes that the adoption of the NAREIT definition of FFO would
not result in a meaningful comparison, and would not be an accurate
reflection of the operating activity of the quarter ended March 31, 2003
compared with the quarter ended March 31, 2002. This is primarily due to
significant amounts of deferred revenue which accrued throughout the first
two quarters of 2002 and were recognized in the third quarter of 2002
pursuant to SAB 101. The company plans to adopt the NAREIT definition of
FFO when the company believes that the figures will result in a meaningful
comparison between periods presented.
Operating
Results
Due
to the acquisition in July 2002 of the company's leasehold interests from
Interstate Hotels and Resorts, the results of operations for the first
quarter ended March 31, 2003, compared to the results of operations for
the same 2002 period, do not offer a meaningful comparison. This is due
primarily to recording the operating results of the hotels on the
company's statements of operations beginning in the third quarter of 2002.
In
an effort to make a more meaningful comparison between periods, the
company has provided below selected actual financial information for the
three months ended March 31, 2003 compared with selected unaudited pro
forma financial information for the three months ended March 31, 2002, as
if the acquisition of the leasehold interests from Interstate occurred on
January 1, 2002. This information is shown for the 47 hotels that were
open during the periods presented and does not include operating results
for any hotels that have been sold.
"While we were pleased with the improvement in occupancy, room rate
continues to decline, placing significant pressure on margins," said
Joe Green, chief financial officer. "We are working closely with our
operators to control costs. Although margins dropped 4 percentage points
for the quarter, they improved on a month-over-month basis in February and
March, with the latter showing improvements, compared to budget
expectations. Margin enhancement remains one of our primary focuses."
Financial
Highlights
--
Total debt to EBITDA multiple was 3.8 on a trailing 12-month basis
--
Annual interest coverage ratio multiple was 4.0 on a trailing 12-month
basis
--
Closed the quarter with consolidated debt to total assets at cost of 30.1
percent
--
Generated an unleveraged return on investment of 9.1 percent on its hotel
portfolio on a trailing 12-month basis. Based upon the company's leverage
and borrowing costs, the company realized a leveraged return on investment
of 10.4 percent on a trailing 12-month basis.
--
FFO payout ratio was 55.6 percent on a trailing 12-month basis.
--
On a total portfolio basis, operating margins declined from 42.6 percent
in the 2002 first quarter to 38.6 percent in the 2003 first quarter.
--
Based on information provided by Smith Travel Research, first quarter 2003
RevPAR yield for Winston's portfolio was 109 percent, which indicates that
the company's portfolio achieved disproportionately greater RevPAR than
the competition.
"We
have an active acquisition pipeline of properties to which we believe we
can add value through re-branding or substantial capital renovation
through our joint venture with Charlesbank Capital. Additionally, our
pipeline of opportunities to place quality debt on selected hotels is
developing nicely. Hotel transactions like these, however, are very
complex, and timing is difficult to predict," Green said.
Dividend
Performance
During
the 2003 first quarter, Winston Hotels declared a regular cash dividend of
$0.15 per common share, which is equivalent to $0.60 per common share on
an annualized basis. Also in the first quarter, the company declared a
regular quarterly cash dividend to preferred shareholders of $0.578125 per
share. "Our dividend remains equal to 2002 payments, and we currently
do not anticipate any change in our 2003 dividend policy," Green
added.
Guidance
and Outlook
"With
the Iraq War apparently winding down and lower terrorist alert levels, we
are hopeful that the pace of travel will begin to show signs of
improvement," Green remarked.
"It
is still too early to tell when the economy and hotel industry will begin
to rebound, but we sense a fair amount of pent-up demand. Based on our
operators' estimates for the 2003 second quarter, RevPAR is targeted to be
within a range of negative 3 percent to flat, compared to the 2002 second
quarter, and flat to positive 2 percent for full-year 2003 compared to
full-year 2002. FFO per share for the 2003 second quarter is targeted to
be between $0.34 and $0.38. We are revising our full-year FFO per share
guidance to $1.03 to $1.12, versus our previously issued guidance of $1.03
to $1.14, due to the expected termination of the leases with
Intercontinental Hotels Group, Inc. (formerly Six Continents Hotels, Inc.)
for our wholly owned Hampton Inn in Las Vegas, NV and our Windsor, CT
Hilton Garden Inn in which we currently own a 49% joint venture interest.
It is anticipated that on or about July 1, 2003, (i) the Hampton Inn will
be leased by our taxable REIT subsidiary, Barclay Hospitality Services;
(ii) the Hilton Garden Inn will be leased by an affiliate of the company;
and, (iii) both properties will be managed by Alliance Hospitality
Management, LLC.
"We
are optimistic that we are near the end of a very difficult operating
period for both Winston Hotels and the hotel industry," Winston
added. "We are fortunate that new room supply is at a cyclical low,
which should help speed the recovery. We remain conservative in our cost
control measures and are actively seeking opportunities to make
acquisitions with our joint venture partner, as well as actively pursuing
mezzanine loan opportunities. We believe that we are prepared to move
swiftly in response to changing economic conditions."
Winston
Hotels' first quarter 2003 investor conference call is scheduled for 10
a.m. ET today. Interested parties may dial 888-428-4474 to listen to the
call. The call also will be simulcast over the Internet via the company's
web site, www.winstonhotels.com.
The replay will be available on the company's Web site for 30 days and via
telephone for seven days by calling 800-475-6701, access code 681906.
Raleigh,
North Carolina-based Winston Hotels, Inc., is a real estate investment
trust specializing in the development, acquisition, repositioning and
active asset management of premium limited-service, upscale extended-stay
and full-service hotels, with a portfolio increasingly weighted toward the
leading brands in the lodging industry's upscale segment. The Company
currently owns or is invested in 52 hotels with 7,200 rooms in 17 states,
which includes: 44 wholly-owned properties with 6,141 rooms; a 49 percent
ownership interest in three joint venture hotels with 453 rooms; a 13.05
percent ownership interest in two joint venture hotels with 215 rooms; and
a mezzanine financing interest in three hotels with 391 rooms. For more
information about Winston Hotels, visit the Winston Hotels web site, www.winstonhotels.com.
In
addition to historical information, this press release contains
forward-looking statements including, but not limited to statements
referring to the company's 2003 dividend policy, the estimated RevPAR for
the year and second quarter of the year, and estimated FFO per share for
the year and second quarter of the year, the expected termination of
leases with Intercontinental Group and the expected replacement of the
management company. The reader can identify these statements by use of
words like "may," "will," "expect,"
"project," "anticipate," "estimate,"
"target," "believe," or "continue" or
similar expressions.
These
statements represent the Company's judgment and are subject to risks and
uncertainties that could cause actual operating results to differ
materially from those expressed or implied in the forward looking
statements including, but not limited to, changes in general economic
conditions, lower occupancy rates, lower average daily rates, acquisition
risks, development risks including risk of construction delay, cost
overruns, occupancy and other governmental permits, zoning, the increase
of development costs in connection with projects that are not pursued to
completion, the risk of non-payment of mezzanine loans, or the failure to
make additional mezzanine debt investments and investments in distressed
hotel opportunities. Other risks are discussed in the Company's filings
with the Securities and Exchange Commission, including but not limited to
its Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2002,
Quarterly Reports on Form 10-Q and its other periodic reports.
This
press release includes certain non-GAAP financial measures as defined
under SEC rules. As required by SEC rules, the Company has provided a
reconciliation in this press release of each non-GAAP financial measure to
its most directly comparable GAAP measure. A further description of these
non-GAAP measures can be found in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the
year ended December 31, 2002.
WHO sets criteria
to lift travel advisory; Nine new Sars cases yesterday, but it wants to
see fewer than five a day
SCMP - The World Health Organisation has set out three
criteria that Hong Kong must meet to have the travel advisory imposed
against it as a result of the Sars outbreak lifted, stressing that the
number of new cases must be fewer than five for at least three consecutive
days.
The
requirement concerning new cases also involved the number of patients
receiving treatment in Hong Kong hospitals being reduced to 60.
The
WHO stipulated two other prerequisites. Firstly, Hong Kong must have
stopped spreading the virus to other nations - something that has not
happened for two or three weeks already. Secondly, the mode of
transmission must be understood in each case.
While
Hong Kong now knows the target it must aim for, a spokesman for the WHO
separately warned that Hong Kong could find itself in trouble again if the
outbreak on the mainland is not brought under control.
"China
is the real danger," said Peter Cordingley, a spokesman for the WHO
regional office in Manila, expressing concern that the outbreak in Hong
Kong may be reignited by cross-border travel.
The
announcement of the criteria came after a teleconference between Secretary
for Health, Welfare and Food Yeoh Eng-kiong and WHO executive director of
communicable disease David Heymann yesterday.
Dr
Yeoh said the WHO applauded Hong Kong's "heroic" efforts in
containing Sars.
The
WHO emphasised, however, that the daily increase in new cases was the most
important of the conditions.
In
general, a lifting of the travel advisory for an area depends on there
being no new case for 20 days. But Dr Yeoh said the WHO appreciated the
fact that it was difficult for Hong Kong to achieve the zero-case target.
A
spokesman for the Health, Welfare and Food Department added that the WHO
said in addition to the three-day requirement, there must also be a
gradual and stable decline in the daily number of new cases for 20 days.
"It
doesn't help if we get 80 cases one day and then no case the day
after," Dr Yeoh said.
The
daily number of new Sars cases has been in gradual decline in the past
five days, with single-digits reported since Sunday.
There
were nine new cases yesterday, bringing the total number of infections to
1,646. A further six patients died, raising the death toll to 193. The
number of patients still receiving treatment in hospital is 495.
The
WHO imposed the unprecedented warning for travellers not to visit Hong
Kong on April 2 at the height of the outbreak of severe acute respiratory
syndrome.
Travel
advisories were also subsequently issued against Beijing, Guangdong and
Shanxi provinces. An advisory against Toronto was lifted on April 29 after
a Canadian government protest.
Dr
Yeoh, who declined to predict when the advisory would be lifted, said the
WHO also wanted the number of "active cases" under hospital
treatment in Hong Kong to be reduced to below 60.
THE
THREE STEPS
New
cases have to fall below five a day, and active cases to 60
No
exports of cases
Mode
of transmission should be understood
Hospitality
Management Summer Programme (HMSP) 2003 scheduled for 23rd
consecutive year
Ecole hôtelière de Lausanne is conducting the annual Hospitality
Management Summer Programme (HMSP) 2003 for the 23rd
consecutive year
Originating at the world's
oldest and foremost hospitality institution, one hundred and ten years of
experience, HMSP was created in 1981, stemming from the need to improve
organizational skills and management knowledge in the hospitality
industry. The programmes are
organized and conducted by Lausanne Hospitality Consulting (LHC), a
business unit of EHL. LHC
continuously refines and improves the offer to reflect current industry
trends.
Some highlights of the
Modules in HMSP 2003:
§
Strategic Marketing
in the Global Economy: a
highly interactive module based on case studies in leading-edge marketing
practices
§
Applying the
Marketing Communication Mix: unraveling
the secrets of successful creative messages and promotional activities
§
Crisis Management in
Hotels: highly relevant in
today’s market as it covers the essential elements of managing in times
of major disruption; multiple business angles will be covered by subject
matter experts
§
Facilitating Change
and Innovation in Hospitality Management: how to initiate and manage change for the short- and
long-term in operational and strategic directions
§
Hospitality
Financial Management: the
technicalities of the knowledge and practice of evaluating investment
proposals and evaluating the capital structure of a hospitality
going-concern
THE PROGRAMME
Operations
·
HACCP and Food Safety Management Principles
·
Elements of Food and Beverage Control
·
Crisis Management in Hotels
·
Advanced Technical Services Management for Hotels
Marketing
·
Strategic Marketing in the Global Economy
·
Applying the Marketing Communication Mix
·
Distribution Channels Management
Finance
·
Accounting for Management Decision Making
·
Hospitality Financial Management
Leadership
·
Facilitating Change and Innovation in Hospitality Management
For
more information, please access LHC’s website at http://www.lhcconsulting.com
or contact
Louis Lim - Senior Consultant
Lausanne
Hospitality Consulting
Ecole hôtelière de Lausanne
Direct Tel: +41 21 785 1392
Direct Fax: +41 21 785 1332
E-mail:
Louis.Lim@ehl.ch
Hong
Kong Wharf
hotel unit issues profit warning
IMail - Hong Kong Hotel and restaurant operator Harbour Centre Development
has issued a profit warning for its half-year result, which one analyst
said could drag down parent Wharf Holdings' earnings by as much as 6 per
cent this year.
Harbour
Centre Development, 67 per cent-owned by Wharf, said average occupancy
rate of the Marco Polo Hong Kong Hotel had fallen to around 10 per cent in
April, compared to 83 per cent for the same period last year.
The
collapse in occupancy, which accounted for 80 per cent of the company's
turnover and 52 per cent of earnings last year, was expected to negatively
affect first-half earnings to June 30.
Directors did not know how long weak hotel
room demand would persist, the company said. "Therefore, at present,
the directors are unable to quantify the impact of SARS on the results.''
It
said various measures had been taken to reduce costs and conserve cash
resources without affecting the hotel's standard of service.
The
company also believed it would have sufficient funds to meet its cashflow
requirements in the foreseeable future.
Citigroup
Smith Barney analyst Robert Fong said the profit warning would cause about
a 6 per cent fall, or HK$130-150 million, in Wharf's estimated annual
earnings of HK$2.9 billion, assuming that it generated no profits from
hotels for this year.
"Wharf
has exposure to Hong Kong residential sales and commercial leasing
markets. Any further deterioration in residential demand could push
property prices and stocks lower,'' Fong said. "Any
worse-than-expected sales performance and prices for Bellagio Phase 2 and
Sorrento Phase 2 could lead to downside.''
But
Sun Hung Kai Financial Group analyst Eva Cheng said she did not foresee a
significant impact on Wharf from Harbour Centre Development.
"The
negative impact on the earnings of the whole Wharf group will only be
mild, as the hotel division only accounted for about 4 per cent of its
operation profit last year,'' she said.
Shares
of Harbour Centre Development closed down 0.93 per cent to HK$5.35
yesterday. Wharf's shares closed up 1.07 per cent to HK$14.15.
Millennium Hilton at Ground Zero Reopens
The
newly renovated Millenium Hilton in lower Manhattan welcomed guests
yesterday with huge plasma-screen TVs, comfy king-sized beds -- and
optimistic words from Gov. Pataki and Mayor Bloomberg.
But
nothing compared to the view.
Nearly
all of the luxury hotel's 565 rooms stare out at Ground Zero -- something
that's impossible to miss, even though Hilton did not tout the unique
sightlines at yesterday's grand reopening.
The
Millenium sits directly across Church St. from the pit, and yesterday it
became the last hotel closed by the Sept. 11 attacks to reopen.
Pataki
hailed the moment as "a sign of what is to come."
Bloomberg
called it "a symbol of what is in store for New York."
But
for now, the Millenium will find itself competing with nearby hotels for a
relatively slim number of guests.
Manhattan
hotels south of Union Square booked about 73 percent of their rooms last
week, according to Cristyne Nicholas, president of NYC & Company, the
city tourism office.
That's
down slightly from last year and way below the robust days prior to Sept.
11, 2001.
"I
used to sell out all the time," said Richard Islar, general manager
of the Best Western Seaport Inn, at 33 Peck Slip. "Right now, I'm
running at about 67 percent."
The
Best Western is less than a 10-minute walk from the Millenium. Islar
typically would not be concerned about competing with a luxury hotel. But,
he said, "with everyone playing these rate wars, it still may affect
us."
Bookings
across the city -- and especially downtown -- plunged after the Sept. 11
attacks and were slow to rebound because of the poor economy.
Apprehension
over the war in Iraq undercut business again.
Competition
also has increased, with 3,192 new rooms opening since the attacks.
Hanging
in there Still, Nicholas and several hotel operators were optimistic
bookings will pick up soon.
"Nobody
is doing that great," said Vivian Deuschl of Ritz-Carlton. "But
anyone who predicted the demise of lower Manhattan was wrong."
Ritz-Carlton
opened a luxury hotel last year near Battery Park with sweeping views of
the Statue of Liberty. It has done consistently better than
anticipated.
"The
challenge downtown is that so many financial companies are no longer
there," Deuschl said.
The
Millenium is upbeat about its future. About $31 million has been poured
into the 55-story, black-glass hotel. And the majority of its 360
employees -- many of whom helped guests evacuate safely during the attacks
-- have returned.
"We've
been working on and off at other hotels," said Sagir Ahmed, a
restaurant server. "It's good to be back.
...
It's home sweet home."
Mandarin Oriental
says Hong Kong occupancy at unprecedented low levels
AFX -
International hotels group Mandarin Oriental International Ltd said
occupancy levels fell to unprecedented low levels in Hong Kong in March
and April due to the effects on international travel of both the outbreak
of SARS and the Iraq war, while occupancy has also fallen in Singapore and
Bangkok.
Hotels
in the United States and Europe have also been affected, but to a lesser
extent, the group told shareholders at the Annual General Meeting in
Bermuda, adding that it is still too early to assess the full impact of
these effects on the 2003 full year results.
"In
the meantime, the Group is making every effort to reduce costs and defer
discretionary capital expenditure while maintaining standards," the
company said.
It
said its development strategy remains on track and its financial position
is sound.
Trading
in January and February was in line with the same period in the previous
year, the company said
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