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Newsletter - May 31, 2002

LODGING STOCKS REGAIN PRE-0/11 VALUE

Jones Lang LaSalle Hotels looks at the global experience in the latest edition of Hotel Topics

Global lodging stocks appear to have regained most of the value lost in the months following September 11.  Jones Lang LaSalle Hotels looks at the global experience in the latest edition of Hotel Topics, entitled “Public and Private Hotel Investment.”

Post September 11, lodging stocks worldwide plummeted: in the US stocks registered falls of as much as 50 percent; in the Asia Pacific of 20-30 percent, and in Europe, of approximately 20 percent. 

“The good news, however, is that since this time many of the stocks across the globe have traded up,” said Arthur Adler, CEO and Managing Director, Jones Lang LaSalle Hotels, Americas.  “Some are, however, still trading below their September 10 prices.  This divergence in recovery is due to the market exposure of property portfolios in terms of geographic and business mix, quality of earnings and stock liquidity.”

Below is a performance overview of hotel stocks in the world’s major regions.

United States

After falling by as much as 50% immediately following the attacks of September 11, US hotel stocks have appreciated significantly.  Looking forward, analysts see plenty of upside potential and therefore remain bullish on the overall sector.

“We believe we have entered the early stages of economic recovery.  Looking forward we expect demand to accelerate, supply growth to slow and RevPAR to trend upwards,” said Art Buser, Managing Director and Head of West Coast Operations of Jones Lang LaSalle Hotels.  “Now is considered to be a good time to by lodging stocks here in the US.”

Asia Pacific

The impact of September 11 on Asia Pacific lodging stocks was profound, however since December most have rallied and in some cases surged well beyond pre September 11 levels. 

With the majority of Asia Pacific markets in the late downturn/early recovery stage of market cycle, revenue per available room (RevPAR) is expected to remain flat in 2002.  According to David Gibson, CEO and Managing Director of Jones Lang LaSalle Hotels, Asia Pacific, more robust growth is expected in 2003 driven by US led regional recovery.

Analysts remain positive toward stocks with exposure to key China markets, which should benefit from World Trade organization entry and continued robust economic growth.  Shangri-La Asia’s exposure in China is largely responsible for an impressive stock rebound, up 23.4% from September 10 levels.

City Developments, Hong Kong & Shanghai Hotels and Raffles Holdings are trading at premiums of 19.3%*, 11.3%* and 8.6%* respectively from September 10 levels. 

Not faring so well is Mandarin Oriental International, hit by a higher exposure to the US and European markets and low liquidity compared relative to its competitive set.  Mandarin’s stocks remain at a discount, currently of 24.4%* from September 10 levels.

Poor performance of the Australian listed hotel property sector has cast the sector out of favor for some time. In 2001, the sector was already suffering from the fall-out of Ansett Airlines’ demise and the soft domestic hotel market.  September 11 added to this bearish outlook.

This negative sentiment is evidenced in the privatization of Australia’s third major hotel trust Tourism Asset Holdings.  “Unless share prices improve, further consolidation and/or privatization may occur” said Gibson.  

-----------------------------
As at April 10, 2002

Slowing supply growth is one of the major factors contributing to this sentiment.  Jones Lang LaSalle Hotels forecast a 1.2% supply increase during 2002 – a dramatic decline of the long term historical development activity.  Plus, most operators have announced significant cutbacks in project commitments in 2002” said Adler.

Other factors include improved corporate demand and the success of cost-cutting measures, which are likely to improve the sectors’ long term efficiency.

Europe

Most European listed lodging stocks recovered to pre-September 11 levels in early March 2002.  “We expect the European market to trough in first quarter 2002 and then benefit from the economic recovery in the second half of 2002” said Arthur de Haast, CEO and Managing Director, Jones Lang LaSalle Hotels, Europe.

Quoted hotel companies with higher exposure to the US and major European gateways were already feeling the pressure of the US economic slowdown prior to September 11.  The disruption triggered by the events of September 11 caused significant concern that full year results would suffer an enormous decline.  For the majority, however, the double-digit growth recorded in many major markets during the first eight months of 2001 insulated year-end results. 

Budget brands were the most resilient, particularly given their roadside locations and decline in corporate demand due to economic uncertainty.  Conversely, it was the luxury brands with high visibility in the US as well as heavy reliance on US demand that faltered post September 11. 

“We are yet to see if the fluctuations in share prices will speed up the consolidation of the industry as smaller companies, unable to recover, are absorbed by cashed up conglomerates,” said de Haast.  “We expect mutually beneficial merger and acquisition activity to remerge in the second half of 2002.”

Hotel Topics is a free quarterly research publication, based on topical issues.  The recent edition focuses on public and private hotel investment.  Hotel Topics is available on-line via: www.joneslanglasallehotels.com. 

 

Global Lodging Stock Performance

 

As at Sep-10

As at Apr-10

% change

Europe

 

 

 

Accor (FRF)

40.5

48.3

16.2%

Hilton Group (GBP)

234.0

241.3

3.0%

Queens Moat Houses (GBP)

12.3

16.0

23.4%

Six Continents  (GBP)

743.0

718.0

-3.5%

De Vere Group (GBP)

290.3

360.0

19.4%

Jarvis Hotels (GBP)

114.5

114.0

-0.4%

Millennium & Copthorne Hotels (GBP)

344.0

370.0

7.0%

NH Hoteles (EUR)

12.2

13.1

7.5%

Sola International (EUR)

9.2

8.5

-7.6%

Thistle Hotels (GBP)

116.0

137.0

15.3%

Whitbread (GBP)

589.0

646.6

8.9%

Americas

 

 

 

Starwood Hotels (USD)

29.1

39.6

26.5%

Marriott International (USD)

40.7

45.3

10.2%

Hilton Hotels Corporation (USD)

11.2

15.0

25.7%

Felcor Lodging (USD)

19.1

21.2

9.9%

Host Marriott Corporation (USD)

11.3

12.0

5.7%

Hospitality Property Trust (USD)

26.1

36.2

27.8%

Four Seasons (USD)

46.9

56.0

16.3%

Asia Pacific

 

 

 

City Developments Ltd (SGD)

4.9

6.1

19.3%

Raffles Holdings (SGD)

0.5

0.5

8.6%

Mandarin Oriental (USD)

0.5

0.4

-24.4%

Hong Kong & Shanghai Hotels (HKD)

3.0

3.3

11.3%

Shangri-La Asia (HKD)

5.0

6.5

23.4%

Thakral Holdings (AUD)

0.6

0.6

-1.8%

Grand Hotel Group (AUD)

1.0

0.8

-31.6%

Sources: Jones Lang LaSalle Hotels; Datastream; Bloomberg, UBS Warburg; Deutsche Bank

Jones Lang LaSalle Hotels, the world’s leading hotel investment services group, provides clients with value-added investment opportunities and advice. In 2001, its success story includes the sale of 7,972 hotel rooms to the value of US$1.3 billion in 39 cities and advisory expertise on 100,550 rooms to the value of US$26.3 billion across 255 cities. Jones Lang LaSalle Hotels’ services include transactions, mergers and acquisitions, financial advice and capital raising, valuation and appraisal, asset management, strategic planning, operator assessment and selection and industry research.  Jones Lang LaSalle (NYSE: JLL) is the world’s leading real estate services and investment management firm, operating across 100 key markets on five continents. http://www.joneslanglasallehotels.com

KUWAIT – A MARKET PROFILE

by Lisa M. Jebodhsingh, Senior Market Analyst, Hospitality Knowledge Solutions, Andersen, London, UK 

Bordered by the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia in the South, Iraq to the North and West and the Arabian Gulf to the East, Kuwait is considered the gateway to the Arab peninsula. This oil-rich nation is home to just over two million people, with over half of them non-nationals. 

Kuwait has a climate typical of a desert geographical region, with temperatures averaging 23 degrees celsius for the year, but climbing as high as 50 degrees celcius in the summer months. In this climate, prohibitive to agricultural development, there is virtually no arable land, and it is necessary to import most of the food and water consumed by the populace
 

Kuwait hotel performance 1996 - 2001

Year

Occupancy

Average Room Rate (US$)

RevPAR (US$)

1996

43.8

161

71

1997

45.7

169

77

1998

46.7

171

80

1999

44.8

170

76

2000

44.6

177

79

2001

46.8

181

85

Contrary to its lack of agricultural resources, Kuwait is a country supremely rich in oil resources, which account for 50 percent of its GDP, 90 percent of its exports and 75 percent of government revenues. The first significant oil strike was recorded in 1938 but it was not until 1946, after World War II, that the first barrels were exported. Today, Kuwait is ranked third in the Middle East for proven oil reserves after Iraq and Saudia Arabia, with an estimated 94 billion barrels, 10 percent of the world's crude oil reserves 

Economy 

Kuwait's economy is dependent almost completely on the production of oil, and thus subject to external market conditions. The government is well aware of the finite nature of this resource, albeit not in the immediate future, and have maintained a 'Reserve Fund for Future Generations' into which they funnel 10 percent of oil sector revenues. They are also aware of the need to diversify the economy and tourism is one of the tools at hand. 

Following the September attacks in the US, oil prices slumped by 40 percent. Real GDP growth is estimated at 0.8 percent for 2001, but is expected to contract by 1.1 percent in 2002 as a result of OPEC production quota cuts, which will bring overall oil production down by nine percent compared to 2001. However, this is expected to rebound in 2003 with real GDP growth of 3.5 percent. 

Continued tensions in the region and the increasing concern that there will be a US led military assault on Iraq pose a potential threat to the economy. Foreign and domestic investment activity will most likely be negatively impacted, although this may be balanced by increased oil output and revenues if the Iraqi oil supply is severely disrupted.  

Tourism

Tourism is a relatively untapped industry in Kuwait, a country that has primarily concentrated on the development of its oil industry. Corporate and government business dominated the sector with over 90 percent of the travel to the country being for the purpose of business rather than leisure. A complicated visa regime and lack of attractions are  current hindrances to the development of a leisure tourism industry. However, the introduction of the Hala Shopping Festival, is one step towards placing Kuwait on the radar screens of potential visitors. 

Increased promotion activity coupled with the development of a number of major tourism projects are another step in the development of the industry. The Pearly City Project is a mixed-used development incorporating residential and tourism facilities in a complex in the south of the country, with construction due to be underway shortly. There are also plans underway to develop Failaka and Bubujan islands in the Arabian Sea, aimed at providing a haven for leisure visitors. 

If the oil industry is open to foreign participation, as is the plan with the implementation of US$7 billion Project Kuwait, Kuwait's profile in the non-GCC arena will potentially be raised, and will be a push towards increasing leisure business. However, with oil production the dominant economic activity in the country and a lack of attractions, the push for tourism is perhaps not the primary focus of the government at this time. 

The most recent data available from the World Tourism Organization show visitor arrivals to Kuwait at 77,000 in 1998. With 89,000 arrivals in 1989, visitation declined dramatically to 4,000 in 1991 in light of the invasion by Iraq, but has increased each year since then.  International tourism receipts have also increased year on year with the 1999 figures set at US$243 million. 

Kuwait - The City

In 1999, there were an estimated 2,224 hotel rooms in the country according to the World Tourism Organization. In the capital city, the majority of these rooms are in the four and five-star sector, made up of a selection of international hotel chains, including Starwood, Radisson SAS, Le Meridien and Six Continents, although the dominant company is the local Safir Hotel Management Company. 

The rate cartel operated by the five-star hotels has served to guarantee the highest average room rates of a destination city in the Middle East. Of the 28 markets that are tracked by the Andersen Hotel Industry Benchmark Survey - Middle East and Africa, Kuwait has consistently been ranked first in terms of average room rate. However, occupancy is practically the lowest in the region averaging less than 50 percent in each of the last six years. 

Future supply

It can be argued that the four and five-star market is saturated and it is unlikely that the industry can sustain the new additions that are currently in the pipeline. The Safir Palace Hotel Riggae has reopened after undergoing an extensive refurbishment program, and Hilton has opened a new resort property located on one of the longest private beaches in the country. Other projects online include a new Four Points by Sheraton property to be constructed adjacent to the existing Sheraton Kuwait, as well as the first Courtyard by Marriott hotel for the Middle East, due to open next year. 

Outlook 

Government and corporate business dominate in Kuwait, although there is an increasing push to grow the level of leisure travel to the country. The development of resort properties suited to the leisure traveller, as well as mixed-used developments focusing away from the business traveller are evidence of the desire to attract more leisure business. However, the success of this strategy in the short-term is dependent on the continued conflict in the region, and the potential escalation of violence which will prove a powerful deterrent to new leisure business.

www.hotelbenchmark.com

DECREE GRANTS DUBAI HOTELS GRACE PERIOD

Gulf News -  Sheikh Hamdan bin Rashid Al Maktoum, Deputy Ruler of Dubai, Minister of Finance and Industry, and Chairman of Dubai Municipality, has issued a new decree regarding the municipal fees on hotel establishments in the emirate.

The decree grants hotels and hotel apartments in the emirate a grace period till the end of December to pay the outstanding amounts, which can be paid in full or in monthly installments.

Article two of the decree stipulates that the hotels should pay the full amount due, without any exemption or discount. The hotels should make an advance payment of not less than 25 per cent of the total amount due.

This payment can be made in cash or by cheque. The owner of the hotel establishment or its legal representative should submit post-dated cheques equivalent to the total amount.

The decree allows Dubai Municipality to take punitive action against any hotel establishment that does not pay the due amount within the grace period.

These measures include cutting the electricity and water, or closure of the establishment for a temporary period.

Repeated failure will invite direct legal action against the establishment.

According to the decree, Dubai Municipality can seek the help of any local government departments or authorities in the emirate such as Dubai Police to implement the rules.

EUROPEAN COMMISSION APPROVES NEW ONLINE TRAVEL AGENCY

Europemedia.net    -   The European Commission approved a merger between IT company Amadeus and Laser, the CRM subsidiary of French retail group Galeries Lafayette, which is to pave the way for a joint online travel agency.

The two groups plan to create a 50/50 joint venture to operate a travel website that is to include news reports, destination information and online purchase facilities.

The regulatory body found that the combined market shares of Galeries Lafayette and the joint venture in the travel agency sector will be negligible both in the business and leisure sectors.

This modest market share also removes any fears that the joint venture would be able to shut competitors out of Amadeus GDS System, which represents 80 per cent of the global distribution system sales in France, the Commission said.

Laser is already present in the travel market with its flagship progrmme, "Points Ciel," that allows consumers to redeem points in a various range of rewards, such as trips.

Amadeus whose main shareholders are Air France, Iberia and Lufthansa, operates a global distribution system that allows airlines, hotels and car rental companies to put out information about schedules, availability, pricing and ticketing.

PRESIDENT DISCUSSES THE SEGMENT OF CANDLEWOOD HOTEL COMPANY BUSINESS


James Roos, Candlewood Hotel Company  -  JAMES E. ROOS is President and Chief Operating Officer of Candlewood Hotel Company, Inc.

TWST: Could we start out with a history and overview of Candlewood Hotel Company, Inc. (Nasdaq:CNDL)?

Mr. Roos: Jack DeBoer, who is known as the father of the extended-stay hotel industry, founded Candlewood Hotel Company. Jack DeBoer founded Residence Inn and later sold it to Marriott. He then founded Summerfield Suites, which is now owned by Wyndham Hotels. And in 1995, he founded Candlewood Suites in an effort to reach the middle market. Jack DeBoer is the Chairman and CEO of Candlewood Hotel Company, Inc. Residence Inn, with additional amenities and a rising price point, was challenged with finding places to develop hotels because there are few markets that could support those development costs. By changing the operating model he was able to put the extended-stay hotel concept in far more markets. The first Candlewood Suites opened in 1996 and today we have 103 Candlewood Suites and three Cambridge Suites. Candlewood Suites was actually a joint venture between Jack DeBoer, Warren Fix, our Chief Financial Officer, and DoubleTree Hotels. DoubleTree Hotels later merged with Promus Hotels, and since then, Promus Hotels was acquired by Hilton Hotels.

 Approximately one-third of our common stock continues to be owned by Hilton Hotels; another third by management; and a third is in the public’s hands. WST: What’s going on in your segment of the business? Is there still a lot of building going on? Mr. Roos: The long-term key to hotel industry profitability is the rate of new supply growth, and that has been almost cut off. I’m sorry I don’t have a number to quote you on that. 

But there’s been a tremendous change in the number of new units coming on as well as the pipelines going forward. You know, it takes 12-18 months, the better part of two years, to take an idea to build a hotel and actually get it open. Again those developers who get one under construction soon will have little threat of new competition when they open.

TWST: What does that mean to you in terms of rate flexibility?

Mr. Roos: As supply and demand changes, great opportunities present themselves. This is a primary focus. We have an operating model that has proven itself. It is providing high levels of customer satisfaction, and it has given us costs that are significantly lower than traditional hotels. This concept really works. Our opportunities today are to manage the top line of our business more effectively. And our aim is to continue to refine the way we sell and market. 

We are intensely top line driven, and pride ourselves on having the best sales team in the industry. We actually had been using a sales approach that Jack DeBoer developed along with McGraw-Hill when he owned Residence Inn. It was developed there, it was refined in Summerfield, and we really thought we had perfected it here. But with the help of McKinsey Consulting we have identified even better ways to sell. 

We are implementing strategies right now that we believe will take us to great heights. The key is to find the right customers for our kind of product so that we can maximize the rates they pay. They’ll still get great value, but we’ll have the best of what’s out there.

SOCIETE DE LOUVRE CHAIRMAN DISCUSSES THE COMPANY FOCUS ON LUXURY GOODS AND HOTELS


Anne-Claire Taittinger, Société du Louvre 
ANNE-CLAIRE TAITTINGER is Chairman of the Board of the Société du Louvre

TWST: Could we begin with a brief overview of Société du Louvre, including the history, product portfolio and main markets that you serve?

Mrs. Taittinger: Société du Louvre (Paris:3311.PA) operates in two main areas, the first of which is the hotel business, where we have luxury and budget operations that represent around 80% of our total turnover. The remaining 20% comes from our other business stream, luxury goods, which include products such as Baccarat Crystal. In terms of the luxury hotels, our main customers come from America, Europe and the Middle East, they account for around 85-90% of the total volume. So, we are mainly oriented towards foreign markets. With regards to our budget hotels, we have about 800 in the portfolio and they are mainly located in France, the UK, Belgium and the Netherlands, with the majority of our customers being domestic Europeans.

TWST: Do you anticipate a shift in the percentages of turnover for the two main areas in the future?

Mrs. Taittinger: There will be some increase in the hotels side, but luxury goods will remain the same.

TWST: In terms of the 80% revenues that you derive from the hotel business, what is the split between the luxury and budget side?

Mrs. Taittinger: For the last two years the budget hotels have represented more than 53% because we have continued to build new properties, adding to our portfolio. The luxury hotels are not growing at such as rapid rate.

TWST: What are the characteristics of the hotel industry and the luxury goods market at present? Has the US economic downturn had any noticeable effects?

Mrs. Taittinger: In terms of our luxury hotels, after September 11th we had a great decrease during October, but November to present has seen a recovery. So, in October our revenues were down by 30%, now that figure is less than 10%. With regards to luxury goods, 1/3 of Baccarat Crystal’s turnover comes from a US subsidiary, so it was clear that this was slightly jeopardized by economic and political events there. With regards to Baccarats other markets such as Japan, which represents 1/3 of its turnover, double-digit growth was experienced. So, the turnover there and in the Middle East compensates for the diminishing US figures. Since December, the six exclusive stores that Baccarat operates in the States are up by 15%, so there are signs of a recovery.

TWST: Is it a similar scenario with the other luxury product, Annick Goutal perfumes?

Mrs. Taittinger: Yes it was, because about 70% of the turnover of Annick Goutal came from the US. However, Goutal still has strong benefits but at the same time was more jeopardized than Baccarat because it does not have the same international focus.

TWST: How are each of the Société du Louvre brands such as Baccarat, Annick Goutal and Concorde Hotels perceived in their markets? How prominent does branding feature in your marketing strategy?

Mrs. Taittinger: It depends, for example, the Concorde brand is not strong, but the luxury hotels under its umbrella are, such as The Hôtel de Crillon and The Hôtel Lutetia in Paris and The Hôtel Martinez in Cannes. In this case, customers do not visit the hotels because of the Concorde brand, it is because of the quality, prestige and fame of each hotel and its location. In the budget hotel market it is totally different, guests stay because of the overall brand name that represents a guarantee of service and certain standards. We have three names for our budget hotels and they are well known in Europe, these include Kyriad, Campanile and Première Classe. We will expand the number of these hotels and the franchises, as rapid growth is a requisite in the market. As a brand, Baccarat is perceived as the number 1 in prestigious crystal gifts and has a strong presence in Japan, Europe and the Middle East. Although the market in the US has suffered, it is showing signs of a recovery.

TWST: Will the geographic expansion of the budget hotel portfolio involve growth into emerging markets, such as those in Central and Eastern Europe?

Mrs. Taittinger: We do have some development plans in this area towards Poland, which is the main Eastern developed country and also into Southern Europe. We see that as a good opportunity for us, but in terms of the other countries in that area, there are no opportunities at present. However, in 5-10 years this will change, but at present it is too early to predict.

TWST: Are you also looking at inorganic growth in the form of joint ventures or mergers and acquisitions?

Mrs. Taittinger: It will be both. Organic growth is the most natural method for budget hotels, but it may be the case that we have the opportunity for acquisitions or joint ventures with partners, specifically financial people operating in certain countries. In contrast, it is very different with Concorde as perhaps growth may only be through acquisitions, but at this stage we are unsure. As a group we are very focused on the European market, so we don’t plan to make major acquisitions outside of that area.

Three analysts and top management from eight sector firms examine the lodging sector in this special 47-page Lodging Industry issue from The Wall Street Transcript, available at (212/952-7433) or http://www.twst.com/info/info557.htm

SAVOY GROUP PROFITS SLUMP 25%

e-Tid.com  -  Hotel and restaurant owner the Savoy Group saw profits of £40.8m during 2001, down from £55m the previous year.

Full-year turnover fell from £130.3m to £112m, while first quarter results decreased 8% year-on-year, reports the Telegraph.

Commenting on the results Geraldine McKenna, the group’s executive vice president, remained upbeat: ‘In the second quarter of this year we will see a 12% year-on-year increase in revenue per available room while our earnings will be ahead 24%…We are reasonably optimistic if we stay on course of making about £53m to £54m this year, which will get us back to the 2000 level.’
The second half of the year is traditionally stronger than the first for the group, whose interests include Claridges, the Berkeley, the Connaught and Simpsons in the Strand in London and the Lygon Arms in the Cotswolds.

US investment firm Blackstone paid £520m for the Savoy Group four years ago. Since then, it has invested £67m in new bedrooms and facilities throughout the group.

 

DEPUTY GROUP CE DESCRIBES HILTON GROUP’S KEYS FOR GROWTH

Brian Wallace, Hilton Group   -   BRIAN G. WALLACE is Deputy Group Chief Executive of Hilton Group

TWST: Would you begin with a sketch of the most significant events in the history of Hilton Group (LSE:HG.L) and tell us what is most important to the company at the present time?

Mr. Wallace: The Hilton Group started off many years ago from a very small betting business and really has grown tremendously over its long history. One of the major events was certainly the acquisition of the Hilton Hotels brand back in the late 1980s. Today, the business is now very focused on two businesses: the hotels business and the betting business.

TWST: What were the keys to the growth?

Mr. Wallace: For many years, the company was run by an individual named Cyril Stein. He was tremendously entrepreneurial and managed to grow the betting shop business in particular during the 1970s and 1980s. With the success of that business, he made some bold moves, including the Hilton one. So I think it was a very entrepreneurial style in those days.

TWST: Is betting now a bigger part of the business than hotels?

Mr. Wallace: No, the bigger part is hotels. But I must say that the betting business itself is going through quite exciting times because of a number of regulatory changes.

TWST: Would you comment on that briefly?

Mr. Wallace: Last year in the United Kingdom, the government decided to abolish betting duty completely. That was something that the industry had lobbied for. We got what we asked for, which is always nice from the government. Since then, we have seen a significant increase in turnover — in excess of 30%. I think the other aspect of the betting business that is exciting right now is the very new business of e-betting — betting through the Internet. That’s a business that is less than three years old and yet it is growing rapidly for us.

TWST: What was the advantage to the government of eliminating the duty?

Mr. Wallace: They really perceive the potential of the Ladbrokes brand, which, of course, we own and two other major brands in the UK in particular — William Hill and Coral — which are also potentially global leaders. Because of the potential the government sees for growth in betting on a global scale mainly through the Internet, they wanted to make the playing field competitive for companies in the United Kingdom. We in fact had moved some of that business off shore, so as a quid pro quo for the abolition of duty, we and the other major betting companies repositioned our business in the United Kingdom. Of course, for the government that is good for business and employment.

TWST: With regard to business in general and with regard to Hilton Group in particular, could you comment on the condition of things in 2001 before and after 9/11?

Mr. Wallace: I think the summary for that is, if people look back to our first half results for the half-year to June 2001, they would have seen an exceptionally good period, with very good growth in RevPAR and in profitability. We were on track to outperform market expectations for the whole of 2001. Clearly, that situation was dramatically changed with the sad events of September 11.

Three analysts and top management from eight sector firms examine the lodging sector in this special 47-page Lodging Industry issue from The Wall Street Transcript, available at (212/952-7433) or http://www.twst.com/info/info557.htm

 

CEO OUTLINES ARLINGTON HOSPITALITY’S GAME PLAN

Michael Holtz, Arlington Hospitality  -  MICHAEL P. HOLTZ is Chairman of the Board, President and Chief Executive Officer of Arlington Hospitality, Inc.

TWST: Could we start out with some background and an introduction to Arlington Hospitality, Inc. (Nasdaq:HOST)?

Mr. Holtz: Arlington Hospitality, Inc., is basically a real estate ownership and development company, formerly known as AmeriHost Properties, Inc. The company was founded and went public in 1984. We started in the hotel industry in 1987 when we opened up our very first hotel in Sullivan, Indiana. Our strategy at that time was to build small hotels in small towns. We wanted to focus on the tertiary markets, very similar to a strategy by Wal-Mart at the time. In 1989 we opened up our very first AmeriHost Inn hotel in Athens, Ohio. This was a newly designed hotel prototype; we wanted to create one that offered more in terms of amenities and services than they would typically find in what we call “small town America.” The AmeriHost Inn brand grew very quickly and very well. By the year 2000 the brand had 81 hotels in 17 states. We created a lot of value in that brand, and in recognizing that value, Cendant Corporation, the world’s largest franchiser of hotels, purchased the name and franchise rights to the AmeriHost Inn brands from Arlington Hospitality. And today, we are Cendant’s largest hotel franchisee. Today, the company has 65 AmeriHost Inn hotels and one of our major strategies at this time is to continue to grow the AmeriHost Inn brand with Cendant.

TWST: What’s on the agenda when you look out over the next 12-24 months, what will make that time frame a success?

Mr. Holtz: Our game plan is to continue to build the AmeriHost Inn hotels. We look to build eight to 10 hotels during 2002. We look to sell 10-15 hotels during that same time period. The key to our brand and the success of our brand so far has been weathering the adverse economy. With the hotel industry down about 15% right now in revpar for the year, we’re actually up 6%-7%, and we were able to accomplish that for the reasons I just said earlier, and that’s corporations are now traveling by car more and the consumers and the leisure traffic has picked up a lot. So we’re looking at 2002 to be a very good year, and 2003 to be even stronger.

TWST: What are the dynamics between the top line and the bottom line with Arlington Hospitality, and what will assist in making that bottom line grow, both on a marginal basis and on an absolute basis?

Mr. Holtz: From a hotel operations standpoint, we’ve been focusing on reducing cost in a couple of areas. Number one, we’ve reduced time needed to clean the rooms, about four minutes over the past 12 months. It doesn’t sound like a lot, but that equates to about a $400,000-$500,000 savings to our bottom line company-wide. In addition, we’re going to be focusing on more ways to save energy costs. But more importantly, we’re focusing on ways to get the average daily rate up. Arlington Hospitality will rent about 1.3 million hotel rooms this next year. For every dollar we increase our average daily rate, about $1.2 million drops to our profit before taxes. So the average daily rate is critical to the overall profitability of the company and to the hotel industry as a whole, and so our challenge is going to be to be able to move that average daily rate up at faster levels than inflation. And that’s what’s really going to drop cash flow and profits to the bottom line.

TWST: What are the keys on marketing for this company?

Mr. Holtz: It’s pretty simple. We’re mostly located in small town America, so our whole focus is to sell the hotels to the local community and let them become our sales force. And we do that by trying to get a lot of the community to come to the hotel. We do that through grand openings, every month we invite certain corporations out for tours of the hotel and maybe cocktail parties with our staff. The key is for them to see the product.

Three analysts and top management from eight sector firms examine the lodging sector in this special 47-page Lodging Industry issue from The Wall Street Transcript, available at (212/952-7433) or http://www.twst.com/info/info557.htm

CHINA 4 MONTHS TOURIST ARRIVALS UP 8.26 PCT YEAR-ON-YEAR

Tourist arrivals in the four months to April rose 8.26 pct year-on-year to 30.99 mln, the official Xinhua news agency reported.

Foreign tourist arrivals in the period increased 17 pct year-on-year, Hong Kong tourists rose 2.43 pct, Macao tourists increased 27.07 pct and Taiwan tourists increased 4.69 pct, Xinhua said, citing statistics from China National Tourism Administration.

The number of tourists from several countries reported two-digit growth, including 

South Korea, the Philippines, Mongolia, Malaysia, Thailand, Russia, Singapore and Japan, it said.

AIRLINE EXECUTIVE GETS LOST

e-Tid.com   -  According to the Times, SriLankan Airlines ‘lost’ its chief executive when he was put on the wrong flight from Colombo by the carrier's staff.

The mistake was noticed shortly before the flight departed and Peter Hill was able to change to the correct aircraft.

One airport official commented sagely: ‘It is not unusual for an airline to misplace baggage, but to lose your own CEO takes the cake.’